Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Poised for the next climb up in Real Estate Sales?

As we contemplate the new year ahead, we know that California Real Estate cannot continue to bounce back another 25% as it did in 2013.  Due to the recent run up in interest rate and the anticipated tapering in the Fed's bond buying program, CA Sales are forecast to grow another 9% (see CAR Slide3).
CAR Housing Forecast

http://www.car.org/3550/pdf/econpdfs/CAR_Forecast_2013-09_slide_3.pdf

 However, given the backdrop of the increasing momentum in the general economy, more jobs, lower unemployment, it is quite possible that we will see 13% sales increases especially in the high-tech Silicon Valley. Already there is anecdotal evidence of young software engineering families being forced to move further and further away from the South of Market area of  San Francisco to the East Bay and South Bay. Yesterday I showed rental property to a young software family who decided to move to South San Jose just to be able to afford rents of around $2,000/month for a luxury remodelled 2 bed/1ba condo.  Another family were planning to move out of their rental in Berkeley and move out to Walnut Creek, Danville, Pleasanton just to afford a basic 3 bed/2ba single family home.  So my analysis of the market situation today leads me to believe that we will see larger double-digit sales and sales price increases in 2014 especially in some hot areas of the South Bay and East Bay - I will be happy to assist you find something suitable provided you start now before the market heats up even more.  As a Mortgage Broker, I can also pre-qualify you and find you a competitive loan once we have found your new home. But you have to act now. Call me (408)644 4680

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

A breathing pause before the next climb

Witnessing the senseless filibustering by Sen Ted Cruz in Washington, reminds me of Julius Caesar - fiddling while Rome burned.  Our nation faces a major crisis and all our nations leaders can do is political posturing. Throw the rascals out!  Unfortunately, it is we who elected them to represent us, so we are to blame.

It is easy to be sucked into this vortex so I would advise everyone to look past these games and focus on the underlying trend in the Housing market, Stock market, Job market and take advantage of this brief breather before the next climb up. We will somehow muddle through the Govt running out of money(we've been there before), the increased debt limit, the possibility of Fed tapering their bond buying, and things will settle back to "normal".  

Those who can look past these games, will be able to reap great rewards by taking advantage of the pull back in mortgage interest rates and the increase in new listings of houses for sale. So now is the time to buy and enjoy the renewed price appreciation which will occur by early next year. 

Bricks and Mortar (Housing) is always a good hedge against inflation which I am afraid is certain to come by the end of next year, as a consequence of the excess liquidity that the QEs have caused over the past 2 years. A nation cannot print an endless amount of money without devaluing its currency, which in turn will drive up interest rates, the cost of living and spark inflation of around 5%.  

Further thoughts see National Association of Realtor articles
Last train is leaving for Great Times Ahead!

Don't miss the train



Monday, August 26, 2013

The housing rebound is alive and well!  We are seeing nearly 20% housing price increases in the past year, with some parts of the San Francisco/Bay Area experiencing nearly 30% increases.  Oakland for example is exhibiting the highest housing price appreciation in the entire nation!

If you have been wondering what your own home is worth, wonder no more but act now and contact me for a FREE MARKET ANALYSIS.

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Even if you don't plan in selling right now, it is worth knowing what your home is worth for insurance purposes so that you have adequate insurance. Also, if the Property Tax Assessor has just sent you a new tax assessment much higher than you imagined possible, and you plan to appeal for a Tax reduction, then you may want to have independant market analysis from Real Estate experts from the world's largest Real Estate franchise   Century21.  Just call me on my cell phone (408) 644 4680 and I will respond immediately.